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Red155
874963.8
842942.2
146865.3
Blue202
91069.2
802042.9
248664.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175183050100150250300350400155202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave0
5Coral scored#9
25Coral points47
34Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Coral scored#21
57Coral points75
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
95Total teleop119
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#10
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
155Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#62
65.30.9
63.962.9
Auto12.3
Teleop46.2
End6.7
blue by 3.9
910
#5
69.22.0
62.864.8
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
Second
8749
#15
63.80.9
58.557.5
Auto15.3
Teleop35.5
End12.9
blue by 0.3
2486
#22
64.12.0
58.360.3
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End11.3
Third
8429
#57
42.20.9
41.440.5
Auto12.2
Teleop26.6
End3.4
blue by 0.8
8020
#43
42.92.0
44.446.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.3
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned