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Red246
25493.0
5865.5
332255.4
Blue253
118105.8
367473.3
21755.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221252150200300350246253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+13Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +22
3Leave6
11Coral scored#6
56Coral points31
59Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
38Coral scored#36
137Coral points128
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
18Processor points24
16Net points28
34Algae points52
171Total teleop180
Reef
14L4#18
16L3#11
11L2#6
8L1 · trough#7
56Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
246Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#4
93.01.9
93.795.6
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
blue by 12.8
118
#2
105.80.4
108.1108.5
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
Second
58
#45
65.51.9
63.165.0
Auto11.7
Teleop44.1
End9.7
blue by 7.9
73.30.4
71.271.6
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Third
3322
#44
55.41.9
48.850.8
Auto10.2
Teleop37.1
End8.1
blue by 0.6
217
#28
55.90.4
56.757.1
Auto10.2
Teleop37.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned