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Red149
680629.1
272029.0
32463.1
Blue233
224049.5
91069.2
415277.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111208050150250300149233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+74
Endgame+84
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave9
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points41
23Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +47
22Coral scored#33
78Coral points119
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
110Total teleop157
Reef
10L4#13
8L3#13
3L2#8
4L1 · trough#7
32Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points0
149Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#56
63.11.7
53.255.0
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
blue by 13.8
4152
#52
77.02.5
64.767.2
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
Second
6806
#75
29.11.7
28.430.1
Auto3.0
Teleop23.9
End2.2
blue by 40.2
910
#5
69.22.5
64.867.3
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
Third
2720
#70
29.01.7
29.230.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End8.0
blue by 20.5
2240
#61
49.52.5
52.655.1
Auto10.1
Teleop38.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned