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Red223
594097.3
87667.7
406950.9
Blue161
164058.3
412265.5
670234.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247159100200300350223161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
34Coral scored#19
121Coral points67
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#9
12Processor points24
24Net points36
36Algae points60
157Total teleop127
Reef
16L4#9
9L3#5
9L2#5
7L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points2
223Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.30.8
101.7100.9
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
red by 31.8
4122
#37
65.50.0
55.255.1
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End9.6
Second
876
#23
67.70.8
61.560.7
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
red by 9.5
1640
#59
58.30.0
54.554.5
Auto10.7
Teleop38.8
End8.8
Third
4069
#63
50.90.8
54.353.5
Auto9.1
Teleop33.5
End8.2
red by 16.0
6702
#67
34.80.0
38.338.3
Auto5.5
Teleop27.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned