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Red219
297639.3
213777.5
131868.6
Blue209
859268.6
566549.7
557262.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19319550100150250300350219209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+18Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
7Coral scored#9
35Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +25
35Coral scored#24
125Coral points88
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
18Processor points18
16Net points28
34Algae points46
159Total teleop134
Reef
16L4#10
14L3#11
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
219Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#10
77.52.5
72.675.0
Auto20.2
Teleop49.6
End7.7
red by 8.9
8592
#53
68.61.4
72.173.4
Auto13.9
Teleop48.3
End6.4
Second
1318
#38
68.62.5
66.669.1
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End6.0
red by 6.6
5572
#33
62.01.4
61.462.8
Auto17.8
Teleop34.8
End9.4
Third
2976
#25
39.32.5
35.237.6
Auto9.0
Teleop27.4
End2.9
blue by 10.5
5665
#34
49.71.4
46.247.6
Auto7.4
Teleop40.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned