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Red153
360476.0
839350.6
580023.0
Blue171
902421.6
58758.8
147762.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12517350100150200250300153171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
26Coral scored#23
92Coral points83
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
116Total teleop109
Reef
11L4#11
9L3#8
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
153Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#39
76.02.2
67.069.2
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
red by 13.4
1477
#31
62.60.7
67.668.3
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7
Second
8393
#35
50.62.2
31.433.6
Auto9.9
Teleop35.6
End5.1
blue by 8.2
587
#27
58.80.7
55.956.7
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
Third
5800
#72
23.02.5
18.921.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End1.5
red by 1.5
9024
#73
21.60.7
27.528.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned