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Red189
589583.9
50355.3
174161.1
Blue249
233782.5
95770.8
194268.4
39%Model gave it61%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20622750100150250300350189249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+56
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
11Coral scored#12
55Coral points62
58Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +29
23Coral scored#22
83Coral points78
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#12
12Processor points18
20Net points48
32Algae points66
115Total teleop144
Reef
11L4#15
13L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#7
41Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points4
189Total score249

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.91.0
83.482.4
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
red by 1.4
2337
#51
82.51.3
81.082.2
Auto22.6
Teleop51.2
End8.7
Second
1741
#24
61.11.0
60.659.6
Auto20.3
Teleop36.8
End4.0
blue by 9.7
957
#16
70.81.3
66.367.6
Auto18.9
Teleop40.8
End11.1
Third
503
#7
55.31.0
48.647.6
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0
blue by 13.1
1942
#11
68.41.3
67.568.8
Auto18.2
Teleop43.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned