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Red129
300657.5
508932.2
331068.0
Blue106
842942.2
248664.1
298019.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151133100200250129106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+29Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
93Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points6
129Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#47
68.01.1
60.959.8
Auto11.4
Teleop47.6
End9.0
red by 4.0
2486
#22
64.12.1
60.358.2
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End11.3
Second
57.51.1
50.249.0
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
red by 15.4
8429
#57
42.22.1
40.538.4
Auto12.2
Teleop26.6
End3.4
Third
5089
#12
32.21.1
23.822.7
Auto6.2
Teleop24.9
End1.1
red by 12.7
2980
#69
19.52.1
20.017.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed