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Red231
557262.0
45657.9
147762.6
Blue227
367473.3
164058.3
415277.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195211100150250300350231227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points48
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +14
22Coral scored#23
78Coral points84
6Processor algae#4
10Net algae#8
36Processor points24
40Net points32
76Algae points56
154Total teleop140
Reef
11L4#14
9L3#8
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
231Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#31
62.62.2
68.370.5
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7
blue by 14.3
4152
#52
77.01.5
67.268.7
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
Second
5572
#33
62.02.2
62.865.0
Auto17.8
Teleop34.8
End9.4
blue by 11.3
73.31.5
71.673.1
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Third
456
#13
57.92.2
55.757.9
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End7.4
blue by 0.3
1640
#59
58.31.5
54.556.0
Auto10.7
Teleop38.8
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned