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Red247
91069.2
25493.0
910565.0
Blue100
580023.0
1033718.8
131868.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25911250150200300350400247100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+123Teleop
+135Endgame
+147Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave6
10Coral scored#3
49Coral points14
58Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +85
34Coral scored#16
121Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
161Total teleop76
Reef
13L4#8
17L3#6
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
53Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +147
12Foul points0
247Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#4
93.00.2
95.695.4
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
red by 24.4
1318
#38
68.61.6
69.167.5
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End6.0
Second
910
#5
69.20.2
67.367.1
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
red by 46.2
5800
#72
23.01.6
21.319.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Third
9105
#26
65.00.2
63.863.6
Auto15.6
Teleop42.3
End7.0
red by 46.2
18.81.6
22.520.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed