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Red217
168374.2
174161.1
213777.5
Blue123
21755.9
224049.5
902421.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220144100200250300217123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+94Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave9
10Coral scored#1
51Coral points3
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
25Coral scored#17
90Coral points61
4Processor algae#3
9Net algae#4
24Processor points18
36Net points16
60Algae points34
150Total teleop95
Reef
11L4#6
11L3#7
8L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
217Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#10
77.50.4
75.075.5
Auto20.2
Teleop49.6
End7.7
red by 21.6
217
#28
55.91.9
57.155.2
Auto10.2
Teleop37.8
End7.9
Second
1683
#18
74.20.4
64.464.8
Auto12.2
Teleop54.6
End7.4
red by 24.7
2240
#61
49.51.9
55.153.2
Auto10.1
Teleop38.7
End0.7
Third
1741
#24
61.10.4
59.660.1
Auto20.3
Teleop36.8
End4.0
red by 39.5
9024
#73
21.61.9
28.226.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned