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Red170
1002149.6
360476.0
50355.3
Blue176
446757.7
508932.2
779057.6
83%Model gave it17%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184145100200250170176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +2
27Coral scored#27
97Coral points97
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
18Processor points24
16Net points12
34Algae points36
131Total teleop133
Reef
9L4#14
12L3#9
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
170Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#39
76.00.8
69.268.4
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
red by 18.3
4467
#20
57.71.7
54.856.5
Auto13.9
Teleop36.7
End7.1
Second
503
#7
55.30.8
47.646.8
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0
blue by 2.3
7790
#41
57.61.7
57.058.7
Auto12.5
Teleop40.5
End4.7
Third
49.60.8
48.047.2
Auto6.5
Teleop39.6
End3.6
red by 17.4
5089
#12
32.21.7
22.724.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed