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Red140
680629.1
1002149.6
147762.6
Blue166
248664.1
45657.9
174161.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13518750100150200250300140166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave9
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points35
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +9
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
105Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#13
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
140Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#31
62.60.5
61.361.8
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7
blue by 1.4
2486
#22
64.10.5
58.958.4
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End11.3
Second
49.60.5
46.046.5
Auto6.5
Teleop39.6
End3.6
blue by 11.5
1741
#24
61.10.5
60.259.7
Auto20.3
Teleop36.8
End4.0
Third
6806
#75
29.10.5
24.925.4
Auto3.0
Teleop23.9
End2.2
blue by 28.9
456
#13
57.90.5
54.253.7
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned