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Red133
406950.9
839350.6
32463.1
Blue172
298019.5
367473.3
168374.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14015650100200250133172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave0
1Coral scored#9
3Coral points44
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +4
22Coral scored#18
80Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
108Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#15
5L3#4
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points0
133Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#56
63.10.3
53.152.8
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
blue by 11.1
1683
#18
74.21.9
59.761.6
Auto12.2
Teleop54.6
End7.4
Second
4069
#63
50.90.3
53.953.7
Auto9.1
Teleop33.5
End8.2
blue by 22.5
73.31.9
67.369.2
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Third
8393
#35
50.60.3
27.827.5
Auto9.9
Teleop35.6
End5.1
red by 31.1
2980
#69
19.51.9
16.017.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned