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Red206
16764.2
331068.0
360476.0
Blue237
146865.3
314260.5
859268.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187202140160180220240260206237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points41
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +12
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points93
5Processor algae#6
10Net algae#7
30Processor points36
40Net points28
70Algae points64
145Total teleop157
Reef
13L4#9
6L3#14
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points0
206Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#39
76.00.7
62.262.9
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
red by 7.4
8592
#53
68.62.4
70.672.9
Auto13.9
Teleop48.3
End6.4
Second
3310
#47
68.00.7
62.062.7
Auto11.4
Teleop47.6
End9.0
red by 2.7
1468
#62
65.32.4
59.662.0
Auto12.3
Teleop46.2
End6.7
Third
167
#66
64.20.7
58.158.8
Auto20.5
Teleop38.5
End5.2
red by 3.7
3142
#36
60.52.4
60.362.6
Auto13.9
Teleop35.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned