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Red206
298019.5
561474.2
233782.5
Blue242
224049.5
25493.0
446757.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184224100150200250300206242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+36
Endgame+26
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
9Coral scored#9
43Coral points43
43Total auto49
TeleoperatedBlue +30
32Coral scored#25
115Coral points89
2Processor algae#6
2Net algae#10
12Processor points36
8Net points40
20Algae points76
135Total teleop165
Reef
16L4#13
13L3#9
5L2#7
7L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#50
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points12
206Total score242

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#51
82.51.7
83.585.2
Auto22.6
Teleop51.2
End8.7
blue by 10.5
254
#4
93.00.9
95.496.4
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
Second
5614
#17
74.21.7
66.067.7
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
red by 16.5
4467
#20
57.70.9
56.557.4
Auto13.9
Teleop36.7
End7.1
Third
2980
#69
19.51.7
17.919.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.7
blue by 30.0
2240
#61
49.50.9
53.254.1
Auto10.1
Teleop38.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned