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Red150
314260.5
58758.8
181630.6
Blue153
779057.6
670234.8
367473.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186191120140160200220240260280150153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points34
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points63
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
12Processor points24
28Net points20
40Algae points44
87Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
150Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#36
60.51.2
63.662.4
Auto13.9
Teleop35.7
End10.8
blue by 12.9
73.31.5
73.171.6
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
587
#27
58.81.2
58.857.6
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
red by 1.2
7790
#41
57.61.5
58.757.2
Auto12.5
Teleop40.5
End4.7
Third
1816
#64
30.61.2
40.739.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End8.9
blue by 4.3
6702
#67
34.81.5
37.235.7
Auto5.5
Teleop27.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed