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Red195
508932.2
360476.0
5865.5
Blue199
545444.3
213777.5
91069.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176214100150200250300195199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave6
5Coral scored#10
24Coral points52
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +22
31Coral scored#24
111Coral points85
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
149Total teleop127
Reef
8L4#14
9L3#10
11L2#5
8L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#43
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
195Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#39
76.01.8
68.470.2
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
blue by 1.5
2137
#10
77.50.2
75.575.7
Auto20.2
Teleop49.6
End7.7
Second
58
#45
65.51.8
67.068.8
Auto11.7
Teleop44.1
End9.7
blue by 3.7
910
#5
69.20.2
67.167.3
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
Third
5089
#12
32.21.8
24.426.2
Auto6.2
Teleop24.9
End1.1
blue by 12.1
5454
#50
44.30.2
44.845.0
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed