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Red145
108649.6
680629.1
146865.3
Blue201
214562.2
50355.3
87667.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13919650100250300145201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+26
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave0
6Coral scored#12
28Coral points58
34Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +2
24Coral scored#20
85Coral points73
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
105Total teleop107
Reef
11L4#11
10L3#11
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
145Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#62
65.30.6
62.563.1
Auto12.3
Teleop46.2
End6.7
blue by 2.4
876
#23
67.71.6
62.864.4
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
Second
1086
#49
49.60.6
38.839.4
Auto14.2
Teleop30.4
End5.0
blue by 12.5
2145
#21
62.21.6
61.763.3
Auto20.7
Teleop34.9
End6.5
Third
6806
#75
29.10.6
29.430.0
Auto3.0
Teleop23.9
End2.2
blue by 26.3
503
#7
55.31.6
46.848.4
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned