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Red189
45657.9
102359.1
288154.9
Blue236
740785.1
406950.9
412265.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182214100150200250300189236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+33
Endgame+53
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave9
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points35
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +15
27Coral scored#27
97Coral points98
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#10
12Processor points18
32Net points40
44Algae points58
141Total teleop156
Reef
10L4#13
9L3#11
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points0
189Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#19
59.10.2
57.457.3
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End5.4
blue by 26.0
85.12.1
81.883.9
Auto24.4
Teleop48.4
End12.3
Second
456
#13
57.90.2
57.957.8
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End7.4
blue by 7.6
4122
#37
65.52.1
57.159.2
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End9.6
Third
2881
#65
54.90.2
58.758.5
Auto12.5
Teleop34.2
End8.1
red by 4.0
4069
#63
50.92.1
54.156.2
Auto9.1
Teleop33.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned