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Red215
331068.0
147762.6
341468.6
Blue234
300657.5
32463.1
594097.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205227150250300350215234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
28Coral scored#27
100Coral points98
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#10
24Processor points30
24Net points40
48Algae points70
148Total teleop168
Reef
14L4#9
7L3#8
9L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
8Foul points0
215Total score234

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#40
68.60.3
58.358.6
Auto15.0
Teleop44.8
End8.8
blue by 28.7
97.30.7
101.8102.5
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
Second
3310
#47
68.00.3
62.262.5
Auto11.4
Teleop47.6
End9.0
red by 4.9
324
#56
63.10.7
56.257.0
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
Third
1477
#31
62.60.3
70.570.8
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7
red by 5.1
57.50.7
53.654.4
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned