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Red158
859268.6
779057.6
842942.2
Blue201
272029.0
21755.9
233782.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191190160170180200210158201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+11
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
3Coral scored#10
17Coral points51
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +17
31Coral scored#23
113Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
131Total teleop114
Reef
11L4#16
8L3#10
9L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
158Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#53
68.61.6
72.270.6
Auto13.9
Teleop48.3
End6.4
blue by 13.9
2337
#51
82.51.4
85.286.6
Auto22.6
Teleop51.2
End8.7
Second
7790
#41
57.61.6
57.255.6
Auto12.5
Teleop40.5
End4.7
red by 1.7
217
#28
55.91.4
55.256.6
Auto10.2
Teleop37.8
End7.9
Third
8429
#57
42.21.6
42.040.4
Auto12.2
Teleop26.6
End3.4
red by 13.2
2720
#70
29.01.4
28.029.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned