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Red107
910565.0
314260.5
298019.5
Blue156
332255.4
715351.3
1002149.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165170100150200250107156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +53
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points52
0Processor algae#4
3Net algae#8
0Processor points24
12Net points32
12Algae points56
55Total teleop108
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
6Foul points6
107Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#26
65.03.0
64.561.5
Auto15.6
Teleop42.3
End7.0
red by 9.6
3322
#44
55.40.2
55.154.9
Auto10.2
Teleop37.1
End8.1
Second
3142
#36
60.53.0
62.459.4
Auto13.9
Teleop35.7
End10.8
red by 9.2
7153
#48
51.30.2
52.652.4
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End7.3
Third
2980
#69
19.53.0
19.616.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.7
blue by 30.1
49.60.2
45.345.1
Auto6.5
Teleop39.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned