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Red158
87667.7
580023.0
557262.0
Blue117
359839.4
181630.6
224049.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17514450100200250300158117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
6Leave3
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points19
51Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +2
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
81Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#10
9L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
158Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#23
67.70.2
64.464.5
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
red by 18.2
2240
#61
49.51.2
54.152.9
Auto10.1
Teleop38.7
End0.7
Second
5572
#33
62.00.2
65.065.1
Auto17.8
Teleop34.8
End9.4
red by 22.7
3598
#58
39.41.2
35.534.3
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End8.3
Third
5800
#72
23.00.2
21.221.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 7.5
1816
#64
30.61.2
39.438.2
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned