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Red119
545444.3
651055.9
406950.9
Blue110
874963.8
446757.7
680629.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174157100200250119110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points11
34Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#14
57Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
71Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
119Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6510
#54
55.92.8
59.156.4
Auto11.1
Teleop38.3
End6.5
blue by 7.9
8749
#15
63.82.4
58.356.0
Auto15.3
Teleop35.5
End12.9
Second
4069
#63
50.92.8
56.253.4
Auto9.1
Teleop33.5
End8.2
blue by 6.8
4467
#20
57.72.4
57.455.0
Auto13.9
Teleop36.7
End7.1
Third
5454
#50
44.32.8
45.042.2
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 15.3
6806
#75
29.12.4
30.027.6
Auto3.0
Teleop23.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed