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Red145
374848.8
214562.2
102359.1
Blue184
91069.2
300657.5
16764.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185199140160220240260280145184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points45
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +4
19Coral scored#24
69Coral points87
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
101Total teleop105
Reef
12L4#18
5L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points2
145Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#21
62.22.4
63.360.9
Auto20.7
Teleop34.9
End6.5
blue by 7.1
910
#5
69.21.0
67.366.3
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
Second
1023
#19
59.12.4
57.354.9
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End5.4
blue by 5.0
167
#66
64.21.0
63.762.7
Auto20.5
Teleop38.5
End5.2
Third
3748
#55
48.82.4
49.346.9
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End8.4
blue by 8.8
57.51.0
54.453.4
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned