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Red119
297639.3
902421.6
432260.1
Blue261
194268.4
118105.8
561474.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114277050150200250300350119261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+112
Endgame+134
Fouls+142
AutonomousBlue +29
9Leave0
3Coral scored#10
13Coral points51
22Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +83
18Coral scored#32
65Coral points114
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
6Processor points24
12Net points28
18Algae points52
83Total teleop166
Reef
8L4#16
4L3#11
6L2#9
3L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +142
0Foul points8
119Total score261

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#32
60.10.9
56.355.4
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End4.9
blue by 45.6
118
#2
105.80.3
107.1106.8
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
Second
2976
#25
39.30.9
40.139.3
Auto9.0
Teleop27.4
End2.9
blue by 34.9
5614
#17
74.20.3
67.767.4
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
Third
9024
#73
21.60.9
24.423.5
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 46.8
1942
#11
68.40.3
71.371.0
Auto18.2
Teleop43.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed100%Barge oddsEarned