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Red235
705660.1
300657.5
21755.9
Blue176
565352.5
131868.6
45657.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184194120140160220240260235176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+33Teleop
+55Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points14
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
30Coral scored#23
108Coral points83
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#13
24Processor points12
20Net points52
44Algae points64
152Total teleop147
Reef
18L4#6
8L3#7
9L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#41
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
6Foul points2
235Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#30
60.12.9
58.561.4
Auto10.9
Teleop40.0
End9.2
blue by 8.5
1318
#38
68.61.6
70.869.1
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End6.0
Second
57.52.9
53.456.3
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
blue by 0.4
456
#13
57.91.6
59.557.9
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End7.4
Third
217
#28
55.92.9
56.659.5
Auto10.2
Teleop37.8
End7.9
red by 3.5
5653
#71
52.51.6
51.449.8
Auto9.6
Teleop40.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed