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Red105
1033718.8
332255.4
297639.3
Blue147
331068.0
214562.2
902421.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127172050100150200250300105147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+44
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +43
13Coral scored#23
48Coral points81
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
62Total teleop105
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#11
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
105Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#44
55.41.0
54.953.9
Auto10.2
Teleop37.1
End8.1
blue by 12.7
3310
#47
68.00.5
64.263.7
Auto11.4
Teleop47.6
End9.0
Second
2976
#25
39.31.0
39.338.2
Auto9.0
Teleop27.4
End2.9
blue by 22.9
2145
#21
62.20.5
60.960.4
Auto20.7
Teleop34.9
End6.5
Third
18.81.0
21.020.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 2.8
9024
#73
21.60.5
23.523.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed