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Red208
248664.1
374848.8
87667.7
Blue217
566549.7
561474.2
367473.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189210100150200250208217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+19
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +5
24Coral scored#34
87Coral points124
3Processor algae#3
10Net algae#2
18Processor points18
40Net points8
58Algae points26
145Total teleop150
Reef
10L4#15
7L3#13
8L2#10
5L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#49
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
208Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#23
67.71.6
64.566.1
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
blue by 6.5
5614
#17
74.21.0
67.468.5
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
Second
2486
#22
64.11.6
61.463.0
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End11.3
blue by 9.2
73.31.0
71.872.8
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Third
3748
#55
48.81.6
46.948.5
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End8.4
blue by 1.0
5665
#34
49.71.0
51.152.1
Auto7.4
Teleop40.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned