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Red191
194268.4
32150.5
58758.8
Blue128
164058.3
16764.2
1001524.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201153100250191128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+51Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +40
26Coral scored#13
93Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
121Total teleop81
Reef
15L4#7
8L3#5
5L2#3
7L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
191Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#11
68.40.1
71.071.0
Auto18.2
Teleop43.8
End6.4
red by 4.2
167
#66
64.21.8
62.760.9
Auto20.5
Teleop38.5
End5.2
Second
587
#27
58.80.1
57.757.6
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
red by 0.6
1640
#59
58.31.8
55.954.1
Auto10.7
Teleop38.8
End8.8
Third
321
#60
50.50.1
52.452.3
Auto13.7
Teleop31.4
End5.5
red by 26.2
24.31.8
24.722.9
Auto7.1
Teleop14.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed