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Red223
32463.1
50355.3
874963.8
Blue210
301565.9
432260.1
910565.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178203100150250300223210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+7
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
11Coral scored#9
55Coral points45
58Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +17
29Coral scored#31
103Coral points112
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
129Total teleop146
Reef
10L4#15
16L3#13
6L2#7
8L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#47
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
223Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8749
#15
63.83.4
56.059.3
Auto15.3
Teleop35.5
End12.9
blue by 2.1
3015
#14
65.91.2
64.465.5
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.1
Second
324
#56
63.13.4
56.860.1
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
blue by 1.8
9105
#26
65.01.2
61.562.7
Auto15.6
Teleop42.3
End7.0
Third
503
#7
55.33.4
48.651.9
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0
blue by 4.8
4322
#32
60.11.2
55.456.6
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned47%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned