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Red257
600258.2
415277.0
91069.2
Blue279
589583.9
32463.1
118105.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217275100150200250300350257279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
11Coral scored#12
56Coral points58
65Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +29
31Coral scored#36
110Coral points131
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#9
18Processor points18
28Net points36
46Algae points54
156Total teleop185
Reef
13L4#19
17L3#13
7L2#11
5L1 · trough#5
52Game pieces#60
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
257Total score279

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#52
77.01.1
76.477.6
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
blue by 28.8
118
#2
105.80.6
104.6105.2
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
Second
910
#5
69.21.1
68.769.8
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
blue by 14.7
83.90.6
82.783.3
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
Third
6002
#46
58.21.1
57.658.8
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
blue by 4.9
324
#56
63.10.6
62.062.6
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4