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Red241
859268.6
213777.5
740785.1
Blue175
412265.5
233782.5
839350.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25121350100150300350400241175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+52Teleop
+72Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave3
10Coral scored#6
52Coral points30
58Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +27
30Coral scored#26
109Coral points94
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#3
24Processor points24
24Net points12
48Algae points36
157Total teleop130
Reef
11L4#11
14L3#7
9L2#9
6L1 · trough#5
50Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points6
241Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.10.2
84.784.9
Auto24.4
Teleop48.4
End12.3
red by 2.6
2337
#51
82.50.7
83.282.5
Auto22.6
Teleop51.2
End8.7
Second
2137
#10
77.50.2
77.177.4
Auto20.2
Teleop49.6
End7.7
red by 12.0
4122
#37
65.50.7
66.265.5
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End9.6
Third
8592
#53
68.60.2
68.268.5
Auto13.9
Teleop48.3
End6.4
red by 18.0
8393
#35
50.60.7
51.450.6
Auto9.9
Teleop35.6
End5.1