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Red214
594097.3
147762.6
25493.0
Blue197
50355.3
360476.0
168374.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279212150250300350400214197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+33Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +33
0Leave6
14Coral scored#6
70Coral points31
70Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +26
17Coral scored#23
62Coral points84
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
100Total teleop126
Reef
13L4#9
10L3#11
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +17
18Foul points8
214Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.31.4
99.698.2
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
red by 21.2
3604
#39
76.00.4
76.476.0
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
Second
254
#4
93.01.4
95.393.9
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
red by 18.8
1683
#18
74.20.4
74.674.2
Auto12.2
Teleop54.6
End7.4
Third
1477
#31
62.61.4
65.063.5
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7
red by 7.3
503
#7
55.30.4
55.755.3
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0