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Red232
600258.2
415277.0
91069.2
Blue227
412265.5
233782.5
300657.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218223100150200250300350400232227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
12Coral scored#7
58Coral points37
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +26
23Coral scored#28
84Coral points100
3Processor algae#4
9Net algae#10
18Processor points24
36Net points40
54Algae points64
138Total teleop164
Reef
14L4#14
7L3#8
10L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#49
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
232Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#52
77.00.8
74.875.5
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
blue by 5.6
2337
#51
82.50.5
82.482.9
Auto22.6
Teleop51.2
End8.7
Second
910
#5
69.20.8
67.067.8
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
red by 3.7
4122
#37
65.50.5
65.465.9
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End9.6
Third
6002
#46
58.20.8
56.056.7
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
red by 0.7
57.50.5
56.757.2
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8