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Red250
589583.9
32463.1
118105.8
Blue200
331068.0
301565.9
367473.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277223150200250300350250200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+30Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
37Coral scored#31
132Coral points110
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
160Total teleop134
Reef
10L4#13
17L3#12
13L2#5
6L1 · trough#6
52Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +50
20Foul points0
250Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
105.80.5
104.8104.3
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
red by 32.5
73.30.2
73.373.0
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
83.90.5
82.982.4
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
red by 15.9
3310
#47
68.00.2
68.067.8
Auto11.4
Teleop47.6
End9.0
Third
324
#56
63.10.5
62.161.6
Auto8.6
Teleop46.2
End8.4
blue by 2.8
3015
#14
65.90.2
65.865.6
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.1