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Red247
859268.6
213777.5
740785.1
Blue231
360476.0
50355.3
168374.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248212150200300247231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
12Coral scored#8
58Coral points42
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +19
23Coral scored#24
83Coral points86
6Processor algae#3
11Net algae#10
36Processor points18
44Net points40
80Algae points58
163Total teleop144
Reef
8L4#12
12L3#8
9L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
52Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
247Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.10.4
83.984.3
Auto24.4
Teleop48.4
End12.3
red by 9.1
3604
#39
76.00.6
75.075.7
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
Second
2137
#10
77.50.4
76.376.7
Auto20.2
Teleop49.6
End7.7
red by 3.3
1683
#18
74.20.6
73.273.8
Auto12.2
Teleop54.6
End7.4
Third
8592
#53
68.60.4
67.467.8
Auto13.9
Teleop48.3
End6.4
red by 13.3
503
#7
55.30.6
54.354.9
Auto14.6
Teleop30.7
End10.0