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Red27
1018118.3
96508.7
345226.6
Blue33
78556.6
511026.5
975415.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65633040506070802733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +2
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
20Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points6
27Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#22
26.63.6
24.420.7
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
red by 0.2
5110
#19
26.53.4
22.419.0
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
Second
18.34.0
18.214.2
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End1.5
red by 3.0
9754
#25
15.33.4
15.512.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Third
9650
#31
8.73.6
14.410.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
red by 2.1
7855
#34
6.63.4
17.313.8
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed