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Red79
171833.7
975916.0
22638.9
Blue27
508632.1
368821.5
437720.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91894060801001201407927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+42Teleop
+40Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
46Total teleop15
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
12Foul points0
79Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#1
38.91.7
30.729.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 6.9
5086
#18
32.16.0
24.518.5
Auto5.5
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
33.71.7
36.534.8
Auto5.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
red by 12.2
3688
#27
21.56.0
28.722.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Third
9759
#16
16.01.7
12.410.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
blue by 4.2
4377
#36
20.26.0
24.818.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed