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Qual 32025 FIM District Lake City Event
Red47
779029.5
552515.0
608725.9
Blue80
550543.2
376742.6
148143.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791030501504780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
40Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
47Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#15
29.52.7
24.5→21.8
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
blue by 13.6
5505
#5
43.20.9
27.9→27.0
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
Second
6087
#21
25.92.7
23.1→20.4
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End3.0
blue by 17.2
1481
#4
43.10.9
28.2→27.3
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
Third
5525
#26
15.02.7
23.8→21.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 27.6
3767
#3
42.60.9
32.2→31.3
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed