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Red61
804112.6
22638.9
354633.6
Blue42
954120.0
725025.0
560327.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9071204060801001201406142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+19Teleop
+23Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +18
5Coral scored#3
19Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
33Total teleop15
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#0
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
8Foul points12
61Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#1
38.92.8
29.026.2
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 11.9
5603
#32
27.13.8
27.223.4
Auto4.6
Teleop19.9
End2.5
Second
3546
#17
33.62.8
34.231.5
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 8.6
25.03.8
24.220.4
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
8041
#23
12.62.8
14.711.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4
blue by 7.5
9541
#13
20.03.8
13.29.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed