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Red66
511026.5
71556.0
353723.6
Blue70
437720.2
150230.2
975916.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576602040801001206670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+14
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
48Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
66Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#19
26.50.1
19.019.0
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
blue by 3.8
1502
#10
30.20.5
27.828.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
3537
#20
23.60.1
15.815.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2
red by 3.4
4377
#36
20.20.5
18.819.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
7155
#35
6.00.1
16.016.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 10.0
9759
#16
16.00.5
10.711.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed