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Qual 122025 FIM District Lake City Event
Red33
65618.3
779418.9
956812.5
Blue49
1042120.7
1018118.3
335732.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49730204060801001203349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
16Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
10Foul points0
33Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7794
#14
18.92.8
12.5→9.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End4.2
blue by 13.3
3357
#8
32.31.8
34.2→32.4
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
9568
#30
12.52.8
14.2→11.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 8.2
10421
#28
20.71.8
14.2→12.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Third
6561
#37
8.32.8
18.9→16.1
Auto1.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
blue by 9.9
10181
#33
18.31.8
14.2→12.3
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed