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Red46
975415.3
345226.6
171833.7
Blue40
224618.3
96508.7
779029.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744802040601001201404640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +4
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
46Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.73.5
30.827.3
Auto5.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
red by 4.2
7790
#15
29.51.3
21.720.4
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Second
3452
#22
26.63.5
20.717.2
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
red by 8.3
2246
#29
18.31.3
12.611.3
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Third
9754
#25
15.33.5
12.08.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End1.9
red by 6.6
9650
#31
8.71.3
11.310.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed