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Red71
354633.6
956812.5
335732.3
Blue62
975916.0
804112.6
750130.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88520204060801001201407162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
48Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
71Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#17
33.61.1
31.530.3
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 3.2
30.51.0
26.527.5
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
Second
32.31.1
32.431.2
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 16.3
9759
#16
16.01.0
11.212.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Third
9568
#30
12.51.1
11.410.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 0.1
8041
#23
12.61.0
11.913.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned