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Qual 182025 FIM District Lake City Event
Red97
224618.3
1042120.7
357252.5
Blue100
550543.2
368821.5
725025.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67820204010012014016097100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
61Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#2
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points12
97Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#2
52.53.3
37.4→40.7
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
red by 9.4
5505
#5
43.21.2
28.8→29.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
Second
10421
#28
20.73.3
12.4→15.7
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
blue by 4.4
7250
#9
25.01.2
20.4→21.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
2246
#29
18.33.3
11.3→14.7
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
blue by 3.2
3688
#27
21.51.2
23.2→24.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned