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Red56
22638.9
437720.2
345226.6
Blue64
600512.1
779418.9
148143.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7563020401001201405664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+20
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
37Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
56Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#1
38.91.1
28.927.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
blue by 4.2
43.10.7
30.531.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
Second
3452
#22
26.61.1
17.216.2
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
red by 7.7
7794
#14
18.90.7
9.710.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End4.2
Third
4377
#36
20.21.1
19.318.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
red by 8.0
6005
#12
12.10.7
17.818.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed