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Red65
975415.3
954120.0
550543.2
Blue30
96508.7
956812.5
975916.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593202040801001206530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
43Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
65Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.21.6
29.931.6
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
red by 27.1
9759
#16
16.00.3
12.312.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Second
9541
#13
20.01.6
12.013.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 7.5
9568
#30
12.50.3
10.310.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Third
9754
#25
15.31.6
8.510.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End1.9
red by 6.6
9650
#31
8.70.3
10.09.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed