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Qual 232025 FIM District Lake City Event
Red107
508632.1
376742.6
1042120.7
Blue98
354633.6
357252.5
1018118.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6297020408012014010798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
79Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
107Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#3
42.64.4
29.3→33.7
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
blue by 9.9
3572
#2
52.51.2
40.7→41.9
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
Second
5086
#18
32.14.4
13.2→17.6
Auto5.5
Teleop20.4
End6.1
blue by 1.6
3546
#17
33.61.2
30.3→31.5
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Third
10421
#28
20.74.4
15.7→20.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
red by 2.4
10181
#33
18.31.2
10.5→11.7
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed